| Extracto del fichero OCR | Cycling safety as an obstacle.
Fears, myths and social learning
Risk, Freedom, Safety
Debates on cycMng safety and mobility in United Kingdom
International Conference: Bike and City
Madrid
9 March 2015
www.¡ohn-adams.co.uk
¡[email protected]
http://www.gov.scot/Resource/lnng/316212/0091984.jpg
"El cambio tiene que echar raíces en las mentes de la gente
antes de que se pueda legislar".
Google Transíate
“Change has to take root in people’s minds before it can be legislated.”
Michael Sandel,
What Money Can't Buy: The Moral Limits of Markets
“The change has to take root in the minds of people before they can
legislate”
The main headline in the Daily Mail reads
“£90 fine if you’re texting at the wheel:
Minister warns of safety crackdown”
Highway Loss Data Institute News Release -
“Texting bans don't reduce crashes; effects are slight crash increases
California — Colllsion claims per 100 Insured vehfcte years, by month before and
after texting law for all drlvers, compared wlth Arizona, Nevada, and Oregon
If change has not taken root in the minds of texting Californian drivers a le
is unlikely To work, and may be counterproductive.
http://vyvyvy.iihs.org/nevys/rss/pr092810.html
http://www.gov.scot/Resource/lnng/316212/0091984.jpg
Home time at a Dutch school
http://www.bikehub.co.uk/featured-articles/safe-cycling-for-kids-but-not-wrapped-in-cotton-wool/
http://hembrow.blogspot.eom/2008/08/everyone-cycles.html
http://steco.nl/pages/consumer/index.php?
taal=nl&page=Producten&cid=12&pid=20
How much can be attributed to:
the Work of engineers?
the Work of legislators?
ebangetaking rootín-people^s-fntnels?—
Lagos-Ibadan Expressway
Nigeria's MOST dangerous road
Tues Apr 2 2013
Better laws?
Legislation for road safety can be defined as “comprehensive” if the existing
national and sub-national road safety laws include the following key laws:
1) a national speed limit law
2) a national drink-driving law
3) a national motorcycle helmet law
4) a national seat-belt law (front and rear seats)
http://blogs.bmj.eom/injury-prevention/2013/04/16/global-progress-towards-comprehensive-legislation-for-road-
safety/
1
Cyclist Fatalities GB 1952 - 2013
Log cyclist fatalities GB
BiIlion kms cycled GB
1950
1968
1985
2003
2020
CycMst fatalities/biIlion kms GB
24,0
BiIlion kms cycled GB
18,0
♦
♦
12,0
6,0
4--
♦
♦
♦
0,0
1950
Tyclist fa
:alities/biIlion kms^Sb
2020
100,00
75,00
50,00
25,00
0,00
♦♦♦ ♦ ♦
♦♦ ♦ ♦
♦ >
** * *
♦ * ♦ ♦ ♦ *♦♦♦♦♦ *
♦% ♦*♦♦
1950
1968
1985
2003
2020
Safety in numbers
Cycle mode share v latality rate arci neirnet-vvearing rata
USA(38^»t UK{22'’i^ Fitiiice Finltiiul CeitUtiiiy SMeileti DeiiiiviiK Nellieiloiids
(Z4»i> (yt) (i5«b> iVi,)
Couimiesf» l>elii>et-we«iiiinj iiitn.icketsji____
■■1 tZycling % ■ ■» Cyclist deaths per bn pkm cycled
Cycle helmet wearing:
Netherlands, Denmark, Finland, Sweden (EC, 1999); ermany (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000); UK (Bryan-Brown and Christie, 2001);
USA& France (Paris) (Osberg and Stiles, 1998).
Cyclist deaths:
EU (CIT, 2001); France (Carre, 1995), USA (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000).
Cycle Percentage of trips:
Flanders cities (ECF, 1997); USA, Cañada, France, Italy, Austria (Pucher and Dijkstra, 2000); UK, Norway, Switzerland, Sweden,
Denmark (EC, 1999); Germany (Bracher, 2003); Netherlands (Welleman, 2002)
Today, the London CycUng Campaign hailed a major success as Mayor Boris
Johnson (pictured above) opened the Dutch-style extensión of Cycle
Superhighway 2 from Bow to Stratford
http://s3.amazonaws.corn/lcc_production_bucket/files/6239/in_contentJPG?1383761366
Boris Bikes go red with Santander deal
A new £51 million sponsorship deal with Santander - £7.25 milUon per year for seven
years
• »l)» I
f il'l ’
68 cm
https://aseasyasridingabike.files.wordpress.corn/2014/04/screen-shot-2014-04-22-at-23-24-06.png
íii
Different kinds of Risk
e.g. cholera: need
a microscope to
see it and a
scientific
training to
understand
e.g. dimbing
a tree, riding
a bike, driving a car
Scientists don’t
know or cannot
agree: e.g. BSE/vCJD,
global
warming,
low-level
radiation,
pesticide
residues,
HRT, mobile
phones,
passive smoking
The Risk Thermostat
Propensity to
take risks
Rewards
Balancing
behaviour
Perception
of risks
Accidents
__________y
8«rt beit vcar1r>0 nte of driwrt
ftHhSZ JLn-e2 Oct-«2 Fet^ea Jurh«3 Oct-e3
Oftl*
BELT USE LAW
Figure 5«15 Motor vehicle occupant fatalities and serious
injuries; seat belt wearing rates: Sweden. Source: IIHS, Figure 9^
p.261.
Risk and Freedom, p 62, http://john-adanns.co.uk/books/
The Engineering f '
Resouroe fot
AAvnc/ng Mo^xZ/fy «WOOMHOMH*4.TH|>mVf #AMIC^DA«4. *A tCOM
SAE Technical
Paper Series
820819
The Efflcacy of Seat Belt
Legislation
John G.li. Adamt
OaoçKphv D*tiartm*nl
Co «ga ior^Bm
105-1
100-
95-
90-
85-
NO-LAW\
80
1-----------1-----------1-----------1------------r
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978
Figure 5.1 Indices of road accident deaths for countries wlth
seat belt laws, and without. Bars indícate the dates at which
laws carne into effect in countries in the **law” group. Source:
IRF Table VII,
Denmark
Flnr* 11
SPAIN Vfi NO'LAV
25th annlversary of seatbelts - 60,000 Uves saved
Published: Thursday, 31 lanuary 2008
Tvventy ñve years oí seatbelt wearing lavvs have helped save 60,000 lives, Road Safety Minister Jim
Fitzpatnck revealed today.
Seatbcits havc prevcnted an estimatcd 80,<KK5 deatM and 670,000 serious Injuries since 31 January 1983 when seatbelts were made
mandatory for drivers and front seat passengers.
But on Uie 25th anniversary of the law cbange all passengers are being remlnded lo beli up in the back as weil as tbe froni. New
research shows 9 out of 10 people agree It is dangerous to travel in the back oí a car without a seatbeit but only 7 In 10 adults actually
wear belts wben sttting in the back.
Jim Fitzpatrick said:
Tens oí thousands of Uves have been saved since the first law on wearing seatbelts was introduced 25 years ago. Government
campaigns havc helped increase the numbers of pcopie wearing seatbelts to more than 90% for drívers and front seat passengers but
too many back seat passengers are still noc beiiing up.
"Wiih up to IS drivers and froni seat passengers killed each year by the impact of an unbelted rear seat passenger It is vital that
everyone • young or oíd, travellirtg In the front or back - wears a sealbelL"
The Department for Transport is undertaking a major research project into the use of and altitudes towards seatbelts and will use the
findings to inform a new seatbelts campaign which wlll launch towards the end of 2008.
http://www.diYect.gov.uk/en/Nl1/Newsroonn/DG_072333
0
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0
"9'
PACTS ¿
PARLIAMENTARY C *
ADVISOKY COUNCJL #
FORTRANSPORT SAFETY <i, •
x->
DfT Celebrates 25th Anniversary of the introduction of seatbelts
On the 31 st January 2008, the 25th anniversary of the law change
which made front seatbeit wearing compulsory was celebrated.
PACTS itself was set up by Barry Sheerman MP as part of the fight to
get mandatory seatbeit wearing turned into legislation. Eightyears
later it became compulsory for all backseat passengers to use
seatbelts and it is estimated that since the introduction of the first law
change in 1983, seatbelts have orevented 60.000 deaths and over
670,000 serious injuries.
http://www.pacts.org. uk/newsletters.php?id=2
RoSPA Annual Review 07:08
leading the way in safety
Chief Executive's Report
A year sgo, my report louched on ouf philosophy thai a few rnmor bumps and scrapes. on the roi/te through cMtdhood wiil
lead to a aafer aduHhood Thts searns to have struck a chord wilh pubitc, not iaast on a Radio ¿ comedy show where a
lampooned new sobriquet - ‘The Roya! Sociely for Ihe Pronmikxi oí (smaH) Accidents', seems to harve ra:sed a mucíi
needed laugh in tha dry oíd wortd di f>ealth and safaty. The sartous pcint is that the application oí common sansa and
balance is much more reasonable than the seekrng of mmdless Tcrements towards “absolule safel/, a destirvation which
is neither feasliie ñor. in al probab<Íity. des'fable. since it would coTie at soch cost to our freedoms
The corr municat.'oas battle, although well underway, >s not nearly won. In imlh. aoctdent prevenlion is no mean soenoe -
h mvolves so rrany technical, legal and ethlcal issues, uibmately defnmg Ife and death, that there s no s<mple shorthand
for explaming how the whofe thmg wod«. íor ihe benefit of the 60 mllion pecóle who reiy on <t. So. nevet short of ambil!on
for our cause, we have tried to evoVe ore.
^ Our paradigm is des^ned to lake safely educabon/explanabon lo the
“We have just marked the 25th anniversary of the seat-beit law, engineered
through Parliament by our then President, Lord Nugent, a single act of intervention
which has saved 60,000 lives.”
http://www.rospa.conn/about/annualreview/lnfo/review2008.pdf
r I ^
PmcrtpÜM
i
.Indlvidiul
' CKo4(«
be provided so that people can decide what rlsks they wtsh to lake. Whether walking in the hills or mowíng
the lawn. people need to be able to get on wdh tt Ihernseives. ideaUy arnted wilh the toofs of krKiwtedge and
f»iírv»npnrp nftpn lutvn that i<i fhp PYnpfiprvp nf n'hprn
Car occupant daatha
http://www.john-adams.co.uk/2009/09/16/seat-belts-again-2/
Ratio of pedestrian & cyclist fatalities
to car occupant fatalities 1970 - 2006
http://john-adams.co.uk/2009/11/05/seat-belts-another-look-at-the-data/
Risk thermostat with oerceotual filters
Individualist
Hierarchist
Egalitarian
Societal Safety Culture
I
http://www.edwardburtynsky.eom/WORKS/Ships/Shipbreaking/Shipbreaking_04.jpg
Bangladesh - road fatalities per 100,000 motor vehicles - 6300
UK - road fatalities per 100,000 motor vehicles - 6.2
Global status report on road safety: time for action. (PDF). Geneva: World Health Organization. 2009. ISBN 978-92-4-156384-0.
Egypt: road fatalities per 100,000 motor vehicles - 188
BG LNG Plant, Idku, Egypt
CAUTION
THIS DOOR
IS HEAVY
ONEFALSE
MOVE
AND YOU’RE
DEAD.
BEFDREYOU CROSSTHE ROAD.
STOP AT THE KERB.
In 1971 80% of 7 and 8 year old
children got to school
unaccompanied by an adult.
By 1990 it had fallen to 9%.
The parents who let theiY children
cycle to school alone deserve
praise, not the social Services
Fear of traffic and stranger danger
“Change has to take root in people’s minds before it can be legislated.”
Michael Sandel,
What Money Can't Buy: The Moral Limits of Markets
Home time at a Dutch school
Muchas gracias
www.john-adams.co.uk
[email protected]
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